June 8, 2009

Two-mile tracks, top-10 laps

Despite the somewhat derisive description "cookie-cutter" tracks for the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile courses, no two tracks on the circuit are closer in terms of layout than Michigan International Speedway and Auto Club Speedway—but you won't hear too many people complaining about the competition this week. That is because the two-milers offer some of the best side-by-side racing on the schedule.

On these tracks, the conventional wisdom says to load up on Roush-Fenway drivers and they have the numbers to back that up. During the last five years at Michigan and Auto Club combined, the three top drivers for the Cat in the Hat dominate the top five among laps spent inside the top 10, but they are not without opposition.

Jimmie Johnson has actually spent the most time among the leaders on this track type during the last five years. With 1,273 laps among the top 10 at Michigan and another 1,970 in California, he has been spent 73 percent of his time at the head of the field. Unfortunately, bad luck and misfortune has caused him to finish outside the top 15 eight times in the last 24 races on these two tracks and nearly all of those disappointments came at Michigan.

Carl Edwards has spent considerably less time in the top 10, but he's made the most of his opportunities. With 1,260 top-10 laps at Michigan and 1,725 at California, he's competed with the leaders for 69 percent of his possible laps and all but two of his 19 races in that span have ended in top-10 finishes.

Matt Kenseth has actually spent more time among the top 10 during the last five years than Edwards, but that is because he has five more races to his credit. In 24 starts on the two-mile tracks since the beginning of 2003, Kenseth has spent 67 percent of his laps battling for a top-10 finish and he's sealed the deal 83 percent of the time with 20 top-10 finishes in 24 starts.

Another Hendrick Motorsports driver Jeff Gordon and another Roushketeer Greg Biffle are locked in a virtual tie for fourth and fifth on the grid. Gordon has 2,534 laps in the top 10 out of a possible 4,440 during the last five years; Biffle has 2,509, which equates to 57 percent of the time. However, Biffle may be the better value this week because his top-10 laps at Michigan (1,267) are superior to Gordon's (1,081).

Top-10 laps on two-mile tracks
DriverMichiganCaliforniaTotal%





Jimmie Johnson 1,2731,9703,24373%
Matt Kenseth 1,2601,7252,98567%
Carl Edwards 1,2611,4752,73669%
Jeff Gordon 1,0811,4532,53457%
Greg Biffle 1,2671,2422,50957%
Kyle Busch8441,5322,37659%
Kurt Busch 1,0401,2202,26051%
Tony Stewart 9861,2042,19049%
Kasey Kahne 6041,4522,05646%
Mark Martin 6301,2341,86447%
Brian Vickers 8118651,67638%
Dale Earnhardt Jr9205381,45833%
Kevin Harvick 3818691,25028%
Denny Hamlin4887481,23643%
Jeff Burton 2898831,17226%
Jamie McMurray 3687701,13826%
Ryan Newman 5006211,12125%
Elliott Sadler 6403901,03023%
Joe Nemechek 44236780918%
Clint Bowyer23550774226%
Martin Truex Jr25646972525%
Casey Mears 48523572016%
Michael Waltrip 40615255813%
Sterling Marlin 25422147517%
Bobby Labonte 2551373929%
David Ragan19515935417%
David Reutimann3427030415%
Robby Gordon 991302295%
Reed Sorenson131671987%
Juan Montoya21791819%
A J Allmendinger2315718013%
Dave Blaney 105721774%
Paul Menard2827552%
Bill Elliott1730472%
Sam Hornish Jr370373%
David Gilliland035351%
Tony Raines192211%
David Stremme510151%
John Andretti 111121%
Mike Skinner3030%
Joey Logano
000%
Marcos Ambrose0000%
Scott Speed
000%

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