Success predicts success. That's true in business and it's even more accurate in auto racing, so this week's top choices for your fantasy roster need to come from those drivers and teams who finish with the leaders on a consistent basis.
The biggest issue with that is, however, that the new body style has elevated parity to an extreme level and has made it difficult for drivers to string together long runs of top-10s together. It's true that last year, five drivers swept the top 10 in both Lowe's races—including the spring winner Kasey Kahne and fall's Jeff Burton—but no one has managed to run four or more solid results.
Four drivers have managed to earn three consecutive solid finishes, however, and they should become your starting spot for the Coca-Cola 600.
Kyle Busch leads the league with three straight top-fives. Add in a pair of victories and a second-place finish in the Nationwide Series during that same span, and he is certainly the hottest driver at Lowe's for the moment.
Kasey Kahne backed up last year's Coke 600 victory with a second last fall and he preceded it with an eighth in fall 2007. That gives him nearly as much momentum as Busch. In fact, when one factors in his victory in fall 2006, he has the best average finish during the last five Lowe's races.
Jeff Burton (with a worst finish of sixth in the last three races) and Jeff Gordon (with a worst of eighth) round out this list and gives you a variety of marquee and mid-cap drivers from which to choose.
Last Five Races
Driver | Avg Finish | 2008.2 | 2008.1 | 2007.2 | 2007.1 | 2006.2 |
Kasey Kahne | 7.00 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Jeff Burton | 7.60 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Kyle Busch | 9.20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 6 |
Tony Stewart | 11.00 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Bobby Labonte | 11.60 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 5 |
David Stremme | 13.67 |
|
| 9 | 17 | 15 |
Carl Edwards | 14.00 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
Jimmie Johnson | 14.20 | 6 | 39 | 14 | 10 | 2 |
Dale Earnhardt Jr | 14.40 | 36 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 4 |
Jeff Gordon | 15.60 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 24 |
Mark Martin | 16.20 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
Clint Bowyer | 18.20 | 12 | 25 | 2 | 29 | 23 |
Casey Mears | 18.40 | 29 | 29 | 21 | 1 | 12 |
Dave Blaney | 18.80 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 18 | 26 |
Todd Bodine | 19.00 |
|
|
|
| 19 |
Denny Hamlin | 19.40 | 16 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 28 |
Kevin Harvick | 19.80 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 21 | 18 |
Jamie McMurray | 21.00 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 34 |
Regan Smith | 21.00 | 23 | 19 |
|
|
|
Reed Sorenson | 21.40 | 15 | 22 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
Matt Kenseth | 21.60 | 41 | 7 | 34 | 12 | 14 |
Kurt Busch | 21.80 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
Martin Truex Jr | 22.40 | 14 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 31 |
Greg Biffle | 23.20 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 37 |
Scott Riggs | 24.00 | 19 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 17 |
Brian Vickers | 24.20 | 18 | 42 | 46 | 5 | 10 |
David Ragan | 24.75 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 37 |
|
Sterling Marlin | 25.00 |
| 31 |
| 33 | 11 |
Ryan Newman | 27.20 | 21 | 21 | 28 | 39 | 27 |
A J Allmendinger | 27.25 | 43 | 20 | 15 | 31 |
|
Sam Hornish Jr | 27.33 | 22 | 13 | 47 |
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|
Elliott Sadler | 28.00 | 20 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 35 |
Tony Raines | 28.00 | 40 | 48 | 31 | 14 | 7 |
Michael Waltrip | 28.80 | 24 | 27 | 10 | 45 | 38 |
David Reutimann | 30.00 | 32 | 10 | 29 | 49 |
|
David Gilliland | 31.60 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 35 | 33 |
Robby Gordon | 31.60 | 30 | 43 | 38 | 22 | 25 |
Jeremy Mayfield | 32.00 |
|
| 39 | 25 |
|
Juan Montoya | 32.25 | 34 | 30 | 37 | 28 |
|
Joe Nemechek | 32.80 | 37 | 47 | 45 | 26 | 9 |
Paul Menard | 33.25 | 26 | 41 | 22 | 44 |
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Last Five Years
Avg. Fin
Driver | Avg. Fin | Avg. Start | Attempts |
Jimmie Johnson | 7.70 | 6.50 | 10 |
Jeff Burton | 11.10 | 21.50 | 10 |
Bobby Labonte | 12.50 | 16.30 | 10 |
Kasey Kahne | 12.80 | 10.90 | 10 |
Carl Edwards | 13.67 | 18.78 | 9 |
Denny Hamlin | 16.29 | 16.29 | 7 |
Tony Stewart | 16.50 | 17.80 | 10 |
Mark Martin | 16.70 | 12.10 | 10 |
Dale Earnhardt Jr | 16.70 | 17.00 | 10 |
Jamie McMurray | 17.70 | 21.60 | 10 |
Casey Mears | 18.20 | 15.20 | 10 |
Clint Bowyer | 18.33 | 22.17 | 6 |
Greg Biffle | 18.60 | 19.30 | 10 |
Jeremy Mayfield | 18.86 | 23.57 | 7 |
Matt Kenseth | 19.00 | 14.40 | 10 |
Reed Sorenson | 19.50 | 23.17 | 6 |
Martin Truex Jr | 20.00 | 26.86 | 7 |
Kurt Busch | 20.90 | 19.40 | 10 |
Regan Smith | 21.00 | 33.00 | 2 |
Kyle Busch | 21.40 | 17.20 | 10 |
Jeff Gordon | 21.40 | 15.40 | 10 |
David Stremme | 21.60 | 21.80 | 5 |
Dave Blaney | 22.20 | 23.78 | 10 |
Elliott Sadler | 22.20 | 10.00 | 10 |
Joe Nemechek | 22.30 | 24.38 | 10 |
Ryan Newman | 23.20 | 9.50 | 10 |
Kevin Harvick | 23.40 | 19.10 | 10 |
David Ragan | 24.75 | 15.50 | 4 |
Scott Riggs | 24.80 | 15.20 | 10 |
Brian Vickers | 25.60 | 16.56 | 10 |
Robby Gordon | 27.10 | 27.90 | 10 |
A J Allmendinger | 27.25 | 30.75 | 4 |
Sam Hornish Jr | 27.33 | 28.00 | 3 |
David Reutimann | 28.40 | 25.00 | 5 |
Sterling Marlin | 29.13 | 27.88 | 8 |
Paul Menard | 29.40 | 26.25 | 5 |
Michael Waltrip | 29.73 | 24.22 | 11 |
David Gilliland | 31.60 | 27.00 | 5 |
Todd Bodine | 32.00 | 14.00 | 2 |
Juan Montoya | 32.25 | 30.50 | 4 |
Tony Raines | 34.13 | 38.33 | 8 |