June 19, 2009

Red Bull buys Speed a ride

As expected, Red Bull Racing has struck a deal with Joe Nemechek to get Scott Speed into the show, according to a tweet from @DustinLong.

Our View: Normally, we approach these agreements with skepticism, but at least Speed will try to run the full event and not "start and park" as Nemechek has done in recent weeks. Before failing to qualify, Speed was on a top 10 pace, so he could be a decent value.

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Vickers wins fourth pole of the season

Brian Vickers has become a qualifying master. He earned his fourth pole of the season, and these have come on speedways, a short track and now a road course.

Our View: Starting position is critical to success on a road course, so Vickers odds of a good finish have skyrocketed with this effort.

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Yahoo! Qualification Story – Infineon

Qualification on a road course is critical to winning, but someone forgot to tell that to Juan Montoya and Kyle Busch during the last two years. They started in the 30s en route to the checkers at Infineon. Who'll win this week? check out our predictions in this weeks Yahoo! qualification story (.pdf).

F1: FOTA votes to breakaway

The Formula One Teams Association has voted to form their own series in 2010, citing irreconcilable differences with Formula 1, Bernie Ecclestone, and most importantly Max Mosely, according to AutoRacingDaily.com.

Our View: From the sidelines, it seems that Mosely's stubborn refusal to allow any type of compromise is going to ensure that war is declared between the two parties. It really doesn't matter what either side says is at the heart of the matter—this boils down to personalities.

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Ambrose tops Infineon practice 1

In the final minutes of practice, it was a game of King Me. Jeff Gordon laid down a lap of 76.73 seconds (93.368 mph) and on that same lap, Marcos Ambrose bettered him. The No. 47 clocked in at 76.70 seconds (93.404 mph).

Our View: The pole is going to be a nail-biter, but since these guys are at the opposite ends of the spectrum in most fantasy games, there is no reason to not have both on your team.

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IRL: IndycCar.com Iowa Preview

"(This week) starts that stretch of Iowa and Richmond, two tracks that I really enjoy," Dario Franchitti said at IndyCar.com.

Our View: And he should—he won the last two short track races in that series.

See Also: Short Trackin' Indy Style

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Trucks: Lineup set by points

Qualification for the Camping World Truck Series in Milwaukee has been canceled and the lineup will be set by owner points.

Our View: This puts Brian Ickler on the pole in the No. 51 Billy Ballew truck. Kyle Busch has this truck running strong and Ickler could earn his first win in it.

The leader in the driver's points standings is Matt Crafton; he'll roll off the grid second.

Complete Lineup

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CW West: Long tops Infineon Happy Hour

Patrick Long posted the fastest time in the final practice session for the Camping World West race, according to @NASCARHomeTracks.com.

Our View: Long was only 13th quick in the first session, however. Joey Logano was fastest in that session and second in Happy Hour, so we will give the edge to the Joe Gibbs racer. David Gilliland was fifth best in this session after posting the eighth quickest time in the morning.

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F1: In midst of turmoil, Villeneuve eyes return

According to Auto123.com, Jacques Villeneuve has confirmed that he's been in contact with some Formula 1 teams about a possible return to the series. If a split occurs, however, he would prefer to stay with the one run by Bernie Ecclestone.

Our View: A potential schism would certainly create more rides, but the lack of competition already prevalent in Formula 1 would be even worse. If the split does not occur, Villeneuve believes there still may be some fresh teams entering the sport.

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Ambrose loses tire in V8 Supercars

Fantasy owners need to remember that Marcos Ambrose is one of the most experienced road racers in the field - in cars as heavy as NASCAR stockers - but his record isn't perfect. In this video, he looses a wheel.

CW West: Gilliland, Said also in top 10 in practice

Boris Said and David Gilliland also posted top-10 times in practice for the Camping World West race. Gilliland was eighth fastest; Said was ninth.

Our View: On Sunday, Gilliland will be in a car strong enough to run in the top 15. Said certainly has the skill to run well in the Toyota / SaveMart 350k, but he may not have the car.

Practice Times

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CW West: Logano tops practice

Joey Logano posted the fastest time in practice for Bennett Lane Winery 200 Camping World West race.

Our View: While the cars are considerably different, this race can still be used as a warm-up for Sunday's Toyota / SaveMart 350k. Logano will be a better value in the Cup level because of this seat time.

Practice Speeds

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Fuel mileage an issue at Infineon

Expect fuel mileage to continue to be an issue at Infineon, according to Mark Martin and Denny Hamlin in an article by the Sporting News Wire Service. "I think it's almost a given that fuel will be an issue to some degree at Infineon Raceway based on the nature of road-course racing," said Martin.

"We know fuel mileage be a huge factor here," Hamlin said. "We ran at Virginia International Raceway last week and had a good test. We spent a lot of time on handling, but we spent some time on fuel mileage also, and we hope that translates to this weekend as well as it did last weekend at Michigan."

Our View: The strategy will be a little different, however. On road courses drivers plan the race backward. They will plan their final pit stop and come in for service whether the conditions are green or yellow. It's possible that someone will catch a lucky caution.

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IRL: Andretti to Patrick: "don't give up your life to NASCAR"

In the continuing saga of whether Danica Patrick will make a move to NASCAR, her current team owner Michael Andretti cautions her not to give up her life to NASCAR racing, which runs 36 points' paying races per year, according to USAToday.com.

Our View: For her part, Patrick has said in the past that she is not attracted to NASCAR because of the schedule. She's young enough to have the stamina, but the heart also needs to be committed to run well in this series.

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F1: Vettel, Weber tops both practices

Sebastian Vettel and Mark Weber were the fastest and second fastest drivers respectively in the two practice sessions for the British Grand Prix at Silverstone.

In the first practice, the two Brawn Racing teammates Jenson Button and Rubens Barrichello were not far behind, placing third and fourth on the grid.

Our View: These two teams have been the class of the field all season and those four drivers are likely to dominate in the top-five again.

Practice 1 Times
Practice 2 Times

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Montoya best at Infineon

In his short career, Infineon Raceway has been the most kind to Juan Montoya. His average finish of 3.5 there in two starts makes that his best record.

Our View: Better still, Montoya won his inaugural attempt on this track and he should be favored for at least a top-five this week.

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June 18, 2009

The Passing Grade

There is plenty of excitement on NASCAR road courses; you just have to know where to look.

Infineon Raceway is listed as an 11-turn course, but that is a little misleading. The modern NASCAR circuit skips turns five and six, which comprise an inner loop. This part of the track was used when the series first started visiting Sonoma, but designers decided that the stock cars would perform better if a chute was added to connect turns four and seven.

They were right. The twisty segment that is currently avoided acted a lot like the current esses, only with drivers reaching much faster speeds. Not a lot of passing went on in this segment, but during the last five years, 11 percent of the total passes for position have come in turn seven. Another 10 percent come in the segment of turns two, three and four, which is an uphill climb following the start/finish line, but most of these passes are actually made in the final corner numbered "four A."

The grandstands at Infineon are located between turns 11 and one, which also provides a great view of turn 10, and there is a good reason for that. Thirty-two percent of the total passes for position come in the turn 11-12 complex—otherwise known as the hairpin and kink onto the front stretch. Another 27 percent of the passing occurs in turn 10, which comes at the end of a long sweeping left hand corner that is the culmination of the backstretch esses. That will continue to be the action spots on Sunday.

Some road racing specialists, however, have shown they can pass anywhere. Only two percent of the total passes have been made in the backstretch esses. Tony Stewart has been the king of turns eight and nine. Of the total 158 passes that have been made in that section during the last four years, Stewart has completed seven percent of them. The next most productive driver in this segment might surprise fantasy owners, however. Casey Mears has six percent of those passes to his credit and no one else has more than four.

Of course, Mears has had more opportunities to pass overall than most of the leaders. Drivers like Stewart, Jeff Gordon and Juan Montoya spend most of their time in the front of the pack and therefore don't have to overtake as many cars. With an average of 49.3 passes per race during the last four events (which is when NASCAR Statistical Services started tracking this stat), he has made the 10th most passes per race.

So who has had to pass the most cars? Among drivers with more than one start, Denny Hamlin leads the league. He's completed 64.7 passes per race in the three events he's run at Infineon. He's passed a lot of cars and that will get his fans up on their feet, but it hasn't always landed him at the very front of the pack. Hamlin finished 12th in 2006, was 10th in 2007, but only 27th last year.

Total Passes at Infineon

DriverRacesTotalAvg. per raceAvg. FinTurn 1Turn 2-4
Regan Smith17373.030.076
David Stremme16767.032.062
Denny Hamlin319464.716.32012
Michael Waltrip318461.323.32822
Brian Vickers317458.020.71214
David Ragan211557.526.5107
Bobby Labonte422957.331.33622
J.J. Yeley211457.027.0168
Clint Bowyer316555.08.0269
Jeremy Mayfield210753.514.52010
Travis Kvapil210351.521.5237
Casey Mears419749.318.03815
Tony Stewart418947.311.33041
Kevin Harvick418746.823.35417
Matt Kenseth418746.817.52721
Ron Fellows418546.322.32216
Joe Nemechek418446.028.03517
Terry Labonte418345.816.82811
Reed Sorenson29145.534.5117
Martin Truex Jr.313344.318.32723
Carl Edwards417644.017.82720
Chris Cook14444.028.0104
Jeff Gordon417243.011.02114
Dave Blaney417142.829.82926
Greg Biffle417042.58.53421
David Gilliland312742.319.7198
Elliott Sadler416942.311.83316
Robby Gordon416942.327.04226
Bill Elliott14242.019.050
Juan Montoya28442.03.51813
Michael McDowell14040.021.064
Jeff Burton415939.813.33413
Kasey Kahne415839.532.0298
Kyle Busch415739.315.03718
Patrick Carpentier13939.023.072
Dale Earnhardt Jr.415238.023.33912
Jimmie Johnson415137.819.52521
Boris Said414536.319.01414
Jamie McMurray414035.021.52921
Ryan Newman413834.59.52310
Paul Menard13333.034.035
Scott Riggs26532.525.51810
Mark Martin26432.014.0811
Sam Hornish Jr.13030.031.050
Kurt Busch411428.515.5226
Aric Almirola12727.028.080
Brian Simo25427.026.582
Marcos Ambrose12525.042.023
AJ Allmendinger12424.037.022
Sterling Marlin35919.737.0128
David Reutimann11919.040.051
Max Papis11919.035.031
Tom Hubert23417.043.096
Mike Bliss11212.039.041
Brandon Ash166.038.013







Total
6,249

1,067 617
Percentage




17%10%


Driver
Turn 7Turn 8Turn 9Turn 10Turn 11-12
Regan Smith
6102231
David Stremme
2302529
Denny Hamlin
27327060
Michael Waltrip
23163866
Brian Vickers
28213780
David Ragan
7423649
Bobby Labonte
31226175
J.J. Yeley
15143238
Clint Bowyer
30124750
Jeremy Mayfield
7212740
Travis Kvapil
5013730
Casey Mears
15635169
Tony Stewart
23564341
Kevin Harvick
25102961
Matt Kenseth
26425354
Ron Fellows
18507351
Joe Nemechek
14225064
Terry Labonte
14135472
Reed Sorenson
3213235
Martin Truex Jr.
9033140
Carl Edwards
20235945
Chris Cook
3011115
Jeff Gordon
31034954
Dave Blaney
20014055
Greg Biffle
14034850
David Gilliland
11214739
Elliott Sadler
18304554
Robby Gordon
18223148
Bill Elliott
611209
Juan Montoya
12501521
Michael McDowell
401718
Jeff Burton
15214252
Kasey Kahne
8015854
Kyle Busch
18324732
Patrick Carpentier
210819
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
24222251
Jimmie Johnson
17233845
Boris Said
24014448
Jamie McMurray
20112741
Ryan Newman
16014345
Paul Menard
2001013
Scott Riggs
2101024
Mark Martin
12011616
Sam Hornish Jr.
100816
Kurt Busch
23122535
Aric Almirola
102511
Brian Simo
9211616
Marcos Ambrose
600410
AJ Allmendinger
210512
Sterling Marlin
13211211
David Reutimann
00157
Max Papis
10059
Tom Hubert
21169
Mike Bliss
20023
Brandon Ash
00002







Total
705 80 78 1,678 2,024
Percentage

11%1%1%27%32%


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Mayfield expert qualifications clarified

In an article at NASCAR.com, Jeremy Mayfield's expert Harvey MacFenerstein clarifies his credentials and says that he tried to correct the mistakes before court documents were filed.

Our View: After seeing the real credentials, you'll realize why Mayfield's lawyer may have embellished. The true credentials include "taking some classes" toward certification as a medical review officer and a degree from a Dominican Republic college.

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European short track racing

Short track racing goes international. Check out this video from a short track in Belgium.

Dark Horse Report: Andretti best at Infineon

Looking for a strong dark horse at Infineon Raceway this week? In terms of career average finishes, John Andretti lists Infineon as his best track.

Our View: It would be a little easier to get excited about him if that average result wasn't 17.8 in nine starts, but if he practices well, he could be one cheap alternative.

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N'Wide Coleman looks to repeat top five Milwaukee run

Joe Gibbs Racing driver finished fourth in first outing at the Mile

Charlotte, NC (June 16, 2009) – 19 year-old Brad Coleman had never seen the famed Milwaukee Mile when he first set sail on the track in 2007. Undaunted, the rookie brought the Joe Gibbs Racing No. 18 home in fourth and looks to repeat and improve on the finish this coming Father’s Day weekend.

“It is a fast, flat race track and I love racing there,” said Coleman. “I finished Top 10 in my debut in the No. 20 Rudys.com Toyota two weeks ago and am determined to improve that finish this weekend at Milwaukee. It’s my turn to give my dad a Father’s Day present he’ll never forget.”

This will be Coleman’s third run at Milwaukee, finishing fourth two years ago and 25th last season in a Baker Curb prepared race car. His last outing on-track was setting up Kyle Busch’s No. 18 machine last week at Kentucky.“

It was all I could do not to hope Kyle’s helicopter was late last weekend at Kentucky,” smiled Coleman. “I enjoyed practicing and setting up his car for him and would have loved to have raced it. I do know he got the most out of it because he is the best there is right now in the driving world.”

From a team press release

Digger sealed in hole

Several weeks ago, we suggested TNT should run over a cartoon gopher to signal the end of the idiocy that was Fox's NASCAR coverage. They did the next best thing. Click here for an animation of Race Buddy (their cartoon hero) sealing up a gopher hole.

Our View: As cute as that is, Race Buddy may be only a half step up the intelligence scale, but at least it's not that danged gopher.

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N'Wide: Trouble brewing for Wallace sponsor

According to NASCARDaily.com, trouble is brewing for one of Rusty Wallace's sponsors. "At last count, 40 Attorneys General were actively involved in pursuing criminal complaints against US Fidelis," they report.

Our View: There is also a nice mugshot of the CEO of the company at the above link, listing his record of Theft, Burglary, Forgery and Counterfeiting.

Even in these tough economic times, teams have an ethical obligation to the fans not to advertise fraudulent products and services. Kevin Conway has sponsorship from a male enhancement product named Extense that is also under scrutiny.

IRL: Patrick agents entertain offers

In the last year of her contract with Andretti – Green Racing, Danica Patrick is letting her agents field offers, according to DailyNASCAR.com. "That’s what I leave up to my agents," she said. "And as they tell me — which is the best thing — all I have to do is go there and perform and they’ll take care of the rest, so that’s what I’m going to do."

These offer reportedly are coming from Indy Racing League, NASCAR and Formula 1 teams.

Our View: While Patrick would find a transition to either NASCAR or Formula 1 to have a steep learning curve, she is one of the best values in IndyCar at the moment and we believe she has the talent to eventually become a contender wherever she races.

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Jones to run Infineon

Add P J Jones to the Infineon entry list. He'll drive a second Robby Gordon car.

Jones is Gordon's go to test guy and a road racing specialist. Unfortunately, there are much better road ringers available this week.

June 17, 2009

Week 25 Unified Power Rankings

With Formula 1 taking another week off, no one has been able to challenge Jenson Button, so he remains the hottest driver in auto racing. It's hard to argue the point since he has won six of the first seven events on that calendar.

Tony Stewart remains second on the Unified Power Rankings after posting a solid seventh-place finish at Michigan International Speedway. He's been both consistent and strong with 10 consecutive Cup races in which he's finished on the lead lap. To prove his versatility, in recent months he's also won a dirt late model race at Paducah International Raceway and finished sixth in the Dream at his Eldora Raceway—one of the premier races for that type of car.

And in the Indy Racing League, Helio Castroneves continues to tower above his peers. Currently, Castroneves is about five percentage points better than Ryan Briscoe and eight better than Dario Franchitti, but there could be a shakeup in next week's standings since neither Castroneves nor Briscoe have been overly impressive on the IRL short tracks.

Castroneves was 14th at Iowa last year and since that is the next venue on the calendar, he's going to have to pick up the pace. He also finished outside the top 10 in Richmond in 2007, which outbalances his second-place result there last year.

In two short track starts last year, Briscoe finished seventh at Iowa and 15th at Richmond. In stark contrast, the last time Franchitti was on these two tracks, he swept victory lane.

The biggest mover inside the top 10 last week was Mark Martin. The aged veteran used a fuel mileage strategy to win his third NASCAR Sprint Cup race of the season, which ties him with Kyle Busch. He's skipped the last four road races while running a part time schedule, but this driver once posted 23 top-10 finishes in 24 starts on that track type from 1989 through 2001, so you can expect him to keep his momentum.
Nationwide Regular Jason Leffler has done a great job of staying in the Unified Power Rankings' top 10. He finished sixth in the standalone race at Kentucky Speedway, but don't start thinking his strong effort was because there were so few Claim Jumpers in the field. That was his ninth consecutive top-10 finish in NASCAR's second series.
Unified Power Rankings
Top 50


RankDriverPointsLast week+/-
1Jenson Button110.5710
2Tony Stewart97.1520
3Helio Castroneves95.8030
4Ryan Briscoe90.6751
5Mark Martin88.77105
6Jason Leffler88.0960
7Jimmie Johnson88.084-3
8Dario Franchitti87.677-1
9Rubens Barrichello87.1490
10Mark Webber85.29111
11Ryan Newman85.198-3
12Scott Dixon84.50120
13Kurt Busch84.33130
14Brad Keselowski84.00151
15Danica Patrick83.3314-1
16Erik Darnell83.00NR
17Jeff Gordon82.8316-1
18Kyle Busch80.4817-1
19Denny Hamlin80.42234
20Matt Crafton79.6719-1
21Carl Edwards79.4818-3
22Greg Biffle78.47264
23Timo Glock78.4322-1
24Dan Wheldon78.17240
25Matt Kenseth77.7620-5
26Juan Montoya77.50271
27Joey Logano76.9525-2
28Jeff Burton76.8221-7
29Fernando Alonso74.0028-1
30Nico Rosberg72.57300
31Kasey Kahne72.1729-2
32Sebastian Vettel72.0031-1
33David Reutimann70.4332-1
34Marco Andretti70.0033-1
35Tony Kanaan69.8334-1
36Justin Allgaier69.82382
37Steve Wallace69.4536-1
38Jason Keller68.0035-3
39Dale Earnhardt Jr67.80390
40Ron Hornaday Jr67.33422
41Tayler Malsam67.338544
42Brian Vickers66.94431
43Clint Bowyer66.87441
44Jamie McMurray66.58462
45Jarno Trulli66.2940-5
46Johnny Benson Jr66.0041-5
47Marcos Ambrose65.5837-10
48Rick Crawford64.8345-3
49Burney Lamar63.636516
50Kevin Harvick63.2849-1


Previous Unified Power Rankings:

Week 24
Week 23
Week 22
Week 21
Week 20

Mark Martin at Infineon

Look for Mark Martin to run strong this week. From 1989 through 2001 he once earned 23 top-10s in 24 starts on road courses.

N'Wide: Former Milwaukee winners

The Milwaukee Mile is one of the most famous racetracks in America, and with rumors circulating that this could be its last Nationwide race for a while, drivers are going to be highly motivated to take the checkered flag. We'll have to wait and see if Kyle Busch burns it in victory lane if he should win.

The final Milwaukee trophy is only one incentive, however. Less than a handful of Claim Jumpers will be in the race this week, so the Nationwide Regulars are going to pull their gloves a little higher and climb up on the wheel to make sure that their name gets etched in the record books.

The successful racer will stand alongside legends like Sam Ard, Jack Ingram, and modern superstars such as Carl Edwards and Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Former Winners

SeasonRaceDriver
2008Camping World RV Rental 250Carl Edwards
2007AT&T 250Aric Almirola *
2006AT&T 250Paul Menard
2005SBC 250Johnny Sauter
2004Alan Kulwicki 250Ron Hornaday Jr.
2003GNC Live Well 250Jason Keller
2002GNC Live Well 250Greg Biffle
2001GNC Live Well 250Greg Biffle
2000DieHard 250Jeff Green
1999DieHard 250Casey Atwood
1998DieHard 250Dale Earnhardt Jr.
1997Sears Auto Center 250Randy LaJoie
1996Sears Auto Center 250Buckshot Jones
1995Sears Auto Center 250Dale Jarrett
1994Havoline 250Mike Wallace
1993Havoline 250Steve Grissom
1985Milwaukee Sentinel 200Jack Ingram
1984Red Carpet 200Sam Ard




*relieved by Denny Hamlin at sponsor's direction.


Milwaukee's last five races

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