May 13, 2009

Week 21 Unified Power Rankings

Jenson Button won the Spanish Grand Prix, which was his fourth Formula 1 victory in five starts, and by virtue of dominating that series, he remains firmly in control of the "highly-scientific" Unified Power Rankings.* What makes this more impressive still, is that he's doing so with a team that was not favored to run well at the start of the season because they are new to the series.

Teammate Rubens Barrichello finished second in last week's battle in Spain, which allowed him to pad his advantage over the remainder of the field. Barrichello was mildly upset that he was not allowed the opportunity to win after team strategy was altered mid-race that favored Button.

Meanwhile, the NASCAR boys continue to run strong and take up most of the remaining top-10 spots. Tony Stewart's third-place finish at Darlington was enough to keep him third on the Unified Power Rankings grid, while Jeff Gordon's fifth-place finish allowed him to leapfrog Kurt Busch into fourth.

The Indy Racing League has not yet run five races this season, which is the minimum required for inclusion to this list, so none of their drivers will be included until after the Indy 500.

Three drivers, Mark Webber, Mark Martin and Fernando Alonso jumped nine positions between last week and this week to become the biggest gainers.

Justin Allgaier's impressive fifth-place finish in the Nationwide Darlington race allowed him to leap onto the grid in 45th, which Nick Heidfeld scored a seventh in the Spanish Grand Prix to sneak into 50th.

Unified Power Rankings


RankDriverCompetition PointsLast week+/-
1Jenson Button107.8010
2Rubens Barrichello96.0020
3Tony Stewart92.9230
4Jeff Gordon90.8251
5Kurt Busch89.554-1
6Denny Hamlin82.5071
7Jason Leffler82.20103
8Jimmie Johnson81.73124
9Timo Glock81.606-3
10Ryan Newman81.38133
11Ron Hornaday Jr80.809-2
12Jeff Burton78.94142
13Kyle Busch78.528-5
14Mark Webber78.40239
15Carl Edwards78.3311-4
16Greg Biffle77.40160
17Sebastian Vettel77.20247
18Matt Kenseth76.76191
19Juan Montoya74.3617-2
20Mark Martin73.83299
21Fernando Alonso73.80309
22Clint Bowyer73.1415-7
23Brad Keselowski72.73285
24Brian Vickers72.3820-4
25Kevin Harvick72.00272
26Dale Earnhardt Jr71.8021-5
27Matt Crafton71.8025-2
28David Reutimann71.4022-6
29Kasey Kahne70.0026-3
30Jason Keller69.60311
31Joey Logano69.50343
32Mike Skinner67.33364
33David Ragan67.0032-1
34Johnny Benson Jr67.00373
35Marcos Ambrose66.1833-2
36Lewis Hamilton65.20393
37Nico Rosberg65.20403
38Martin Truex Jr64.73457
39Jarno Trulli64.0018-21
40Casey Mears63.9135-5
41Reed Sorenson63.73410
42Scott Lagasse Jr63.7038-4
43Steve Wallace63.60430
44Regan Smith63.0042-2
45Justin Allgaier62.60NR
46Jamie McMurray61.5544-2
47Chad McCumbee61.20470
48Brendan Gaughan60.9046-2
49A J Allmendinger60.82501
50Nick Heidfeld60.80NR


The Unified Power Rankings are based on "percentage points." Starting with a 100 score for the winner of a Nationwide race, each subsequent position is decremented by a percentage that relates to the number of drivers in the field. In a 50-car field of potential qualifiers, the second-place driver receives 98 points, third-place gets 96 points, the 43rd-place driver gets 16 points (because he beat eight other driver to even get into the field) and so on until the last non-qualifier in 50th-place gets two points.

Only races run in the last three months count in this formula.

The Cup, IRL and Formula 1 series start at 110 points for a victory (since its so difficult to win one of these races) and then decrements 1/50th of 110 points for each subsequent position. It’s an unscientific way to determine who is the best in their series, while simultaneously trying to compare apples to oranges.


Previous Unified Power Rankings:

Week 20

RPM teammates struggle to keep Kahne company

Only Kasey Kahne is locked into the All-Star race by virtue of winning it last year, which leaves Elliott Sadler, Reed Sorenson and A.J. Allmendinger hoping to win the Sprint Showdown or get voted in by the fans, according to SceneDaily.com.

Our View: Until last year, we would have said that none of these drivers would be a very good value, but Kahne won after the fan voted him into the big show and Sam Hornish Jr. finished seventh after racing his way into last year's field.

Newman knows how special All-Star race is

"Until I won the Daytona 500, the All-Star win was my greatest victory," said Ryan Newman in a press release this week. "We beat everybody on a given night in our backyard. We weren't racing for points but racing for glory and money, and it was a great win." Newman's victory came in 2008.

Our View: If the drivers think its special, they are going to put the pedal to the metal and go flat out. Newman is one of the hottest racers in the field this weekend and he cannot be overlooked by fantasy owners.

IRL: Powers dream about to end?

Will Powers has done everything Penske Racing could expect while subbing for Helio Castroneves, but he could be out of a ride following Indy, according to Racer.com.

Our View: Two weeks ago in the Toyota Grand Prix of Long Beach, he finished second and there are few who will question his talent. If there is a ride open somewhere for the remaining of the season, it's hard to imagine he won't fill it, but his value as a fantasy pick will be limited by the resources of the team.

Kenseth is a true All-Star

Matt Kenseth will race in his ninth straight All-Star races, according to a team press release, which makes him a true All-Star.

Our View: In that span, he's earned five top-10s, three of which were top-fives, but the crowning moment was his victory in 2001.

F1: Renault also considering options

The Renault Formula 1 teams may also chose to leave the series in 2010, according to Racer.com. Like Ferrari, they are upset about a potential salary cap.

Our View: It may be naive, but as long as each manufacturer has to abide by the same rules, the playing field should be level. Of course, that is an American's opinion, where salary cap restrictions have been in force since the beginning of auto racing.

Gordon seeks memorable win

Each of Jeff Gordon's All-Star wins has been memorable in its own right, and when he's not in victory lane there, one of his current teammates has been, according to Motorsport.com.

Our View: Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, Mark Martin and Dale Earnhardt Jr. have combined for eight of the last 14 wins of this event, and while they may have been running for another team at the time, they are just as likely to run up front this Saturday night.

IRL: Tracy says he can win

In his Blog for Racer.com, Tracy asserts that he is not at Indy for the experience. He believes the team is a legitimate contender for the win.

Our View: It's hard to bet again Tracy's determination and he feels he has something to prove. In 2002—his last time at the track—a controversial ruling about the timing of a caution flag placed him in second.

All-Star race too forgiving, Johnson says

The criteria for entering the All-Star race is too forgiving, according to Jimmie Johnson. This race should be about the best of the best.

Our View: Of course, if NASCAR was interested in having the specialty race be about excellence, they wouldn't have allowed it to devolve into a crash-fest circus. This one's all about the fans—not about who's the best driver.

F1: Ferrari can survive without F1

Ferrari president Luca di Montezemolo believes the famed brand will find the same level of passion from fans in a series other than Formula 1 if they leave the world driving championship because of a rumored salary cap, according to Racer.com.

Our View: Of course, most other series have similar limits to spending and they might find it is just as difficult to buy a championship elsewhere as it is in F1.

Newman feel HMS drivers are teammates

Ryan Newman feels that the Hendrick Motorsports drivers are his teammates, because of a close bond between HMS and Stewart-Haas racing, according to Racer.com.

Our View: The two organizations may share information, but Newman and Tony Stewart know what to do with it. Otherwise, Gene Haas would have been just as successful with his constant stream of other races.

IRL: Servia added to Indy roster

Rahal-Letterman Racing will enter Oriol Servia in this year's Indy 500.

Our View: Servia has one win in the CART series on the road course Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. In one previous Indy 500 start, he finished 11th after starting 25th last year, so he should not be expected to earn maximum points this weekend.

May 12, 2009

IRL: Lloyd is pretty in pink

Alex Lloyd and sponsor HER Energy Drink are turning a few heads, according to IndyCar.com. That will happen when a driver and car are liveried in hot pink.

Our View: In today's economy, one takes their sponsors as they find them. This energy drink is marketed to women, one of the fastest growing demographics in auto racing.

F1: Glock disappointed with Spanish performance

"It was a tricky weekend and in the end it was really disappointing. We all hoped for a lot more from the Spanish Grand Prix so to finish in 10th-place was way below our expectations," Timo Glock told Formula1.com following last week's race.

Our View: While Formula 1's point system is heavily skewed toward the top finishers, most fantasy games award points throughout the grid, so drivers like Glock need to be maximized when they run well. Unfortunately, that was not the case in Spain.

IRL: Looking to expand internationally

The Indy Racing League could expand their international reach in the coming year, with stops in Brazil and China a possibility, according to AutoRacingDaily.com.

Our View: These added races will almost certainly be road course events and tip the balance of the schedule in their favor. Fantasy owners with a solid road crew will be happy to capitalize on the trend.

Johnson says its too soon to think championship

Jimmie Johnson says it's too soon to start thinking about the championship, but it's not too soon to assess his season, according to SceneDaily.com.

Our View: Johnson is well ahead of last year's mark, but that really doesn't matter in the big scheme of things. Like the last three seasons, his team is going to have to hit its stride in the final 10 races, but it's earning major points for fantasy owners.

5-Yr Average Finish, All-Star Race

Jimmie Johnson enters the All-Star race with a four-year streak of top-fives, which has to make him one of the favorites again this week.

Ryan Newman has not been quite as strong, but he's just consistent with five straight results of 12th or better.

DriverAvg Finish20082007200620052004
Elliott Sadler 5.00


28
Jimmie Johnson 5.80421517
Ryan Newman 6.60685122
Matt Kenseth 6.603711111
Sam Hornish Jr7.007



Mark Martin 7.609315110
Jeff Gordon 7.801511346
Dale Earnhardt Jr8.20899105
Tony Stewart 8.405512173
Brian Vickers 9.33
13
312
Carl Edwards 9.6710
415
Scott Riggs10.00

10

Kasey Kahne 10.4011414167
Kevin Harvick 10.8011121822
Jeff Burton 12.00204


Jeremy Mayfield 12.50

178
Bobby Labonte 12.6012216915
Greg Biffle 12.60215131419
Juan Montoya14.0014



Michael Waltrip 14.33

19204
Casey Mears 15.501318


Martin Truex Jr16.001610
22
A J Allmendinger17.0017



Kurt Busch 17.60221920720
Sterling Marlin 18.00



18
Clint Bowyer18.0018



Jamie McMurray 18.5019
18

Denny Hamlin20.002317


Kyle Busch20.00242016

Robby Gordon 21.00



21
Joe Nemechek 22.00


2123

Truck: Skinner gets sponsor

Mike Skinner and Randy Moss Motorsports will receive sponsorship for an additional seven races, according to SceneDaily.com.

Our View: Skinner has done well with relatively limited resources and currently sits atop the Craftsman Truck Series standings, but more revenue means he will run even stronger.

May 11, 2009

Mayfield Motorsports to Yeley, "not so fast"

It seems like the announcement J.J. Yeley would drive the No. 41 was a bit premature, according to FoxSports.com. No driver has been officially named yet.

Our View: Does it really matter? This team has been nothing more than field filler all year and when they qualify, it's a start and park operation. Yeley would be a huge step up for this team, but the team is not capable of backing him.

"Cookie-cutter" kings dominate Texas/Atlanta

The four drivers with the best "cookie-cutter" Fantasy Power Rankings * average dominated the last two races on unrestricted, intermediate speedways.

Our View: Jeff Gordon won at Texas and finished second at Atlanta, which contributed to his Power average of 10.21. Jimmie Johnson was second at Texas and ninth at Atlanta (with a Power average of 6.90), Tony Stewart was fourth at Texas and eighth at Atlanta (11.17) and Matt Kenseth was fifth at Texas and 12th at Atlanta (10.80). Those are the four best Power averages on this track type.

* The Fantasy Power Rankings is a driver's raw finish plus the time they spend among the lead, average running position and several other strength'-based intangibles.

Truck: Billy Ballew gets four race sponsor

Billy Ballew Motorsports will have sponsorship from the Samsung Instinct mobile phone during the next four races beginning at Lowe's, according to SceneDaily.com. Brian Ickler and Ryan Lawler will share driving responsibilities.

Our View: Especially in the Craftsman Truck Series money is crucial to success since the purses are so small. This team has been able to do an amazing job with limited resources so far, mostly because of Kyle Busch's remarkable talent.

F1: Sauber's making progress

BMW Sauber earned their first two points of the season in the Spanish Grand Prix when Nick Heidfeld finished seventh, but team principal Mario Theissen believes the team is making notable progress, according to Formula1.com.

Our View: The team hopes to have a "modified KERS" system in place for the Turkish Grand Prix in June. The added boost could help in the long straights between turns 10 and 12.

Nationwide: Suspended crewman resigns

Ben Williams, the crewman suspended last week for violating NASCAR's substance abuse policy, has resigned from Roush-Fenway Racing.

Our View: The No. 16 team will need to find another gas man, and team chemistry always takes a while to build.

IRL: Everything falls in place for Sharp

Scott Sharp qualified only 20th for the Indy 500, but he's never been happier to be in the show, according to IndyCar.com.

Our View: "It seemed liked the car should have been faster, but you can only do what you can do," Sharp said. That doesn't exactly inspire confidence in potential fantasy players.

Notables on the outside looking in

Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer and Dale Earnhardt Jr. are among the notable drivers on the outside of the top 12 in points who need to pick up the pace to make the Chase for the Sprint Cup.

Our View: In the first several years of the Chase, it has been shown that drivers in the top 12 at this stage of the season are liable to stay there, which is bad news for these drivers' fans.

F1: Spanish GP Recap

Formula1.com has published a snapshot analysis of the Spanish Grand Prix, and no one will be surprised to see Brawn Racing highlighted after Jenson Button and Rubens Barrichello swept the race.

Our View: Two traditional powerhouses, McLaren and Williams struggled, which makes this an interesting season to handicap.

Results

IRL: Hamilton confident about Indy

Davey Hamilton is approaching the Indy 500 with confidence after qualifying for the Indy 500 during the second day of time trials, according to RacingOne.com.

Our View: Hamilton has made the last two Indy 500s and finished ninth in the 2007 edition of this race, but he may yet be a little rusty. Those are his only two IRL events since midway through the 2001 season.

Yeley in for Mayfield

J.J. Yeley will sub for Jeremy Mayfield effective immediately, according to RacingOne.com.

Our View: It won't matter much who is behind the wheel; this team has struggled to finish better than 40th each time they have made the race. In addition, Mayfield cannot be listed as the owner, so any owner points will probably not help them climb toward the top 35.

Truex spends most time in Darlington top five

Martin Truex Jr. spent the most laps among the top five at Darlington, with 235 of 367 laps at the very top of the field. Tony Stewart (214), Ryan Newman (190), Greg Biffle (180) and Kasey Kahne (162) rounded out the top five.

Our View: This data is approximate and based on NASCAR.com's TrackPass, but it is a good gauge of who showed the greatest strength. Put their name in a reminder file for next year's Southern 500.

Buescher wins ARCA contest

Up and coming driver James Buescher held off Justin Lofton at Kentucky Speedway to win the ARCA Drive Smart Buckle-Up Kentucky 150, according to ARCA.com.

Our View: This series provides a great opportunity to learn the fast line around tracks like Kentucky Speedway—one of the "cookie-cutter" courses. This slightly improves Buescher's odds in the Nationwide Series on the similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks.

Keselowski earns respect

Brad Keselowski earned a Darlington stripe or two last weekend, but more importantly, he earned veterans' respect, according to NASCAR.com.

Our View: Rookie success is not unheard of at Darlington, but it is certainly uncommon. After winning Talladega and then finishing in the top 10 at Darlington in consecutive attempts, Keselowski can pretty much write his on ticket among mid-range teams.

May 10, 2009

IRL: 11 more in the Indy 500 field

The second day of qualification is in the books at Indy and two-thirds of the field is now set.

Raphael Matos posted the fastest time of the day and rounds out row four.

Row five will be made up of Paul Tracy, Vitor Meira and Justin Wilson.

Row six will be made up of Hideki Mutoh, Ed Carpenter and Dan Wheldon.

Row seven will be made up of A.J. Foyt IV, Scott Sharp and Sarah Fisher.

And finally, Davey Hamilton qualified 22nd to take the final spot on the roster.

Our View: The pressure is off these drivers, but the remaining hopefuls have to sweat all week until next Saturday's session.

F1: Spanish Grand Prix Results

Jenson Button has gotten off to an amazing start in 2009 by winning four of the first five events on the Formula 1 calendar, but the Spanish Grand Prix was a study in domination for the entire team. This week, Button led teammate Rubens Barrichello to the line. Team orders may have come into play, but either way, both drivers earned maximum points.

FinishStartDriverLapsStatus
11Jenson Button66Running
23Rubens Barrichello66Running
35Mark Webber66Running
42Sebastian Vettel66Running
58Fernando Alonso66Running
64Felipe Massa66Running
713Nick Heidfeld66Running
89Nico Rosberg66Running
914Lewis Hamilton65Running
106Timo Glock65Running
1110Robert Kubica65Running
1212Nelson Piquet Jr65Running
1311Kazuki Nakajima65Running
1420Giancarlo Fisichella65Running
1516Kimi Raikkonen17Hydraulics
1618Heikki Kovalainen7Gear Box
177Jarno Trulli0Accident
1815Sebastian Buemi0Accident
1917Sebastian Bourdais0Accident
2019Adrian Sutil0Accident

Two crewmen also suspended

In addition to Jeremy Mayfield, two NASCAR crew members were also suspended for violating NASCAR's substance abuse policy. These were Tony Martin, a crew member with the No. 34 Cup team and Ben Williams, a crew member of the No. 16 Nationwide Series team.

Our View: Fans should appreciate the integrity that NASCAR tries to bring to their sport, as opposed to the stick and ball sports. Stock cars are just too dangerous to allow any leniency in regards to drugs.

Bowyer's streak ends at 83

Clint Bowyer came up one race shy of tying Herman Beam's long-standing record of 84 races in which he was running at the end. On lap 221 of the 367 that make up the Southern 500, he bounced off the wall and was turned into the inside retaining wall. The damage was too great to overcome.

Our View: In some ways, this was karma. Two weeks ago at Talladega, the team waited until two laps remaining to get his crash damaged Chevrolet back on track—most likely because it would not have been capable of meeting NASCAR's minimum speed requirement in that race.

IRL: 11 locked in to Indy 500

In the first day of qualification, 11 drivers have been locked into the Indy 500. Led by pole sitter Helio Castroneves, Penske teammate Ryan Briscoe is in the middle of the first row and Chip Ganassi's Dario Franchitti is on the outside of that row.

Graham Rahal, Scott Dixon and Tony Kanaan make up row two.

Mario Moraes, Marco Andretti and Will Power make up row three.

And finally, Danica Patrick and Alex Lloyd will take the inside and middle of row four. The rest of the field will be filled on Sunday and next Saturday.

Our View: Castroneves has bragging rights, but the remainder of the field can rest easier knowing they will start near the front of the field.

May 9, 2009

Gordon extends top-five streak

Jeff Gordon extended his top-five streak to six consecutive races, although he overcame long odds en route.

Our View: Gordon was forced to pit on lap 101 when he felt a vibration in his wheel. After that, he circled the track a lap off the pace for more than 110 circuits before getting NASCAR's "Free Pass." He stormed to the front as soon as he was back with the leaders and eventually finished fourth.

Darlington's rapid rookies

Rookies are not supposed to run strong at Darlington and everyone waited for Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano to stumble in the Southern 500. When the checkers waved, however, both of them were in the top 10. Keselowski finished seventh and Logano was ninth.

Our View: It's time to be cautiously optimistic about starting the rookies, especially now that we are closing in on the second half of the season.

Southern 500 Results

Hendrick Motorsports dominated the top five. In addition to Mark Martin winning the race, Jimmie Johnson finishing second and Jeff Gordon in fifth, their engines were in the Stewart-Haas cars raced by Tony Stewart in third and Ryan Newman in fifth. Another HMS driver, Brad Keselowski finished seventh.

Results

FinishStartDriverLapsLaps LedStatusAvg. Fin at track
112Mark Martin36746Running12.00
242Jimmie Johnson3672Running6.91
318Tony Stewart3671Running11.94
43Ryan Newman36748Running12.45
52Jeff Gordon3676Running11.28
616Martin Truex Jr36761Running11.25
731Brad Keselowski367
Running
811Greg Biffle367117Running14.00
95Joey Logano36719Running
101Matt Kenseth36716Running18.00
1124Kevin Harvick367
Running20.08
126Jeff Burton367
Running11.48
1323Denny Hamlin367
Running8.00
1419Elliott Sadler3672Running18.65
1540Paul Menard367
Running27.33
168Kurt Busch367
Running17.46
1738A J Allmendinger367
Running26.67
1827Bobby Labonte3672Running15.24
1941Reed Sorenson367
Running25.50
2025Juan Montoya367
Running22.00
2129Regan Smith367
Running25.00
2220Jamie McMurray367
Running16.44
237Kasey Kahne36645Running15.29
2434David Stremme366
Running27.67
2539Tony Raines364
Running33.67
2632Scott Speed *362
Running
2726Dale Earnhardt Jr360
Running15.07
2828Robby Gordon353
Running25.07
2921David Reutimann347
Running27.00
304Sam Hornish Jr344
Running34.00
3135Brian Vickers333
Accident28.57
329Carl Edwards314
Running15.67
3310Marcos Ambrose312
Running
3414Kyle Busch3032Running20.40
3522Max Papis302
Running
3613Casey Mears238
Running30.22
3717Clint Bowyer221
Accident21.00
3815David Ragan199
Accident23.33
3937Scott Riggs101
Quit29.67
4036Michael Waltrip73
Engine22.44
4133Dave Blaney56
Quit24.38
4243Sterling Marlin38
Quit18.91
4330David Gilliland27
Fuel Pump31.00
44
Jeremy Mayfield0
Did Not Qualify19.91
45
Scott Speed *0
Did Not Qualify

32Joe Nemechek0
Did Not Start24.38


* Speed failed to qualify, and then worked out a deal to race Joe Nemechek's car, so he's listed twice in this week's results.

Stewart-Haas sweep top five again

Stewart-Haas Racing placed both Tony Stewart and Ryan Newman in the top five for the second straight week. Tony Stewart finished third and Ryan Newman was fourth.

Our View: Last week, Stewart was second at Richmond and Newman was fourth. These two tracks could not be any more dissimilar, and that underscores just how strong Stewart-Haas is this year. It's only a matter of time until they win, so fantasy owners should treat them both as place-and-hold drivers.

Hendrick dominates Darlington

Hendrick Motorsports dominated Darlington. In addition to Mark Martin's victory in the Southern 500, Jimmie Johnson finished second, Jeff Gordon was fifth and rookie Brad Keselowski was seventh. Dale Earnhardt Jr. was running in the top 10 until he hit the wall late in the race.

Our View: There are horses for courses and HMS is one of the best values on nearly any track, and a rough-surface track brings the cream to the top.

Martin wins Southern 500

The "Old Man" did it again. Mark Martin stayed out during a lap 319 caution flag and held the field at bay on old tires and very little fuel to win his second race of 2009.

Our View: Rick Hendrick lured him into the No. 5 with promises that he could win and challenge for the championship. Looks like he was right.

IRL: Castroneves on Indy pole

Helio Castroneves held on to win the pole for the Indy 500, with an average speed of 224.864 mph during four laps.

Our View: A 500 mile race is a long event, but there is no more prestige for any other pole in American racing.

Mayfield suspended

Jeremy Mayfield has been indefinitely suspended for violations of NASCAR's substance abuse policy.

Our View: NASCAR has said the team may continue to operate, but someone else will have to head up the operation. Mayfield failed to qualify for the Southern 500.

Gordon scheduled for work on his back

Jeff Gordon will have some work done on his back in between the All-Star race and the Coke 600, according to Dustin Long.

Our View: "(The treatment) is nothing invasive," Gordon told Long. "It's just some injections that are going to do deal with the pain. They say it's sort of like an arthritis and it's excessive because of some of the trauma that my back has gone through, maybe through some wrecks or something. So that's what we're going to do. That's the plan.'' If this increases his comfort, Gordon will be even stronger on race day.